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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+6.56vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+5.31vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.76+6.94vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.72vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20+2.76vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.84+3.38vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.46+3.99vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.37-0.97vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.90+0.04vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.73+0.12vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.09-2.57vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.06-3.23vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.56-2.55vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-1.74vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.21-3.01vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.58-5.50vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.23-4.88vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-7.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.31Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.94George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.76Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.38Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.99Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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7.03University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.04Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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10.12University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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8.43College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.77Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.45U. S. Naval Academy2.560.0%1st Place
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12.26University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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11.99Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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10.5University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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12.12Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Riley Legault | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% |
| Haddon Hughes | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Julia Lambert | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% |
| Paris Henken | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Brittney Slook | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 17.1% |
| Catherine Price | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 14.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 15.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.