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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+7.65vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+5.43vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.09+5.49vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+3.11vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.23+6.80vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.84+3.42vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.46+3.99vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35-0.88vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-2.34vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+2.87vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.90-1.73vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.20-3.78vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.58-2.68vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.73-4.45vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.56-4.46vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.21-3.90vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.76-7.18vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-7.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.65Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.43Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.49College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.11University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.8Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.42Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.99Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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7.12Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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12.87University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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9.27Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.22Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.32University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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9.55University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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10.54U. S. Naval Academy2.560.0%1st Place
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12.1Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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9.82George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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10.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Paris Henken | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 14.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 21.4% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Brittney Slook | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% |
| Catherine Price | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 12.2% | 14.1% |
| Riley Legault | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.