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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.46+10.17vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+5.49vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.06+5.64vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.71vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.90+3.99vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.76+3.70vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.58+3.45vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.84+1.28vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.20-1.23vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.09-1.41vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.37-3.77vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.35-4.48vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-2.30vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.73-4.46vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.23-3.10vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.56-5.34vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.21-4.79vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.17Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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7.49Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.64Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.99Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.7George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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10.45University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.28Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.77Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.59College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.23University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.52Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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9.54University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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11.9Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.66U. S. Naval Academy2.560.0%1st Place
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12.21Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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12.44University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haddon Hughes | 4.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Riley Legault | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Paris Henken | 7.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 13.7% |
| Brittney Slook | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% |
| Catherine Price | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 15.4% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.