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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+7.60vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+5.39vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.46+8.26vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.90+4.98vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+2.12vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.09+2.27vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.76+2.67vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.20-0.25vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+1.85vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.56+0.86vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.23+1.08vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.35-4.47vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-6.34vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.58-3.85vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.84-5.68vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-3.35vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.73-7.01vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.21-6.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.6Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.39Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.26Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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8.98Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.12University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.27College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.67George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.75Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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10.86U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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12.08Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.53Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.15University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.32Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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12.65University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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9.99University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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11.85Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Haddon Hughes | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Paris Henken | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Riley Legault | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% |
| Brittney Slook | 5.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 15.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 18.7% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% |
| Catherine Price | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.