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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+6.04vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.76+7.91vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+4.34vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+3.20vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.90+3.98vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.06+2.36vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.84+2.36vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.20-0.23vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-1.95vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.09-1.39vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.21+1.15vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.46-0.57vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.58-2.69vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-1.72vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.23-3.08vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.73-6.06vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-6.03vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.56-7.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.91George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.2Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.98Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.36Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.36Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.77Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.05Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.61College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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12.15Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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11.43Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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12.28University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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11.92Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.94University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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10.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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10.36U. S. Naval Academy2.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Riley Legault | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Paris Henken | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Catherine Price | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 15.6% |
| Haddon Hughes | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.5% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 17.2% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 13.9% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 7.2% |
| Brittney Slook | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.