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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+6.54vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+6.05vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.84+6.61vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.90+4.99vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.76+4.60vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+4.86vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.25vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.73+1.79vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-1.95vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.09-1.44vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.56-0.27vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.06-3.23vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.37-5.96vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.23-2.42vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-2.44vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.21-3.89vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.46-5.90vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.58-7.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.05Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.61Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.99Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.6George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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10.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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6.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.79University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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7.05Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.56College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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10.73U. S. Naval Academy2.560.0%1st Place
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8.77Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.04University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.58Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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12.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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12.11Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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11.1Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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10.3University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Riley Legault | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.7% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Paris Henken | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Brittney Slook | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 12.4% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 18.4% |
| Catherine Price | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 15.2% |
| Haddon Hughes | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.