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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.84+8.58vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+5.48vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.58+7.71vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+3.16vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.90+3.99vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.06+2.42vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37+0.12vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.23+3.80vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.20-1.19vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.09-1.41vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.46+0.13vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+0.91vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.21-1.22vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-7.41vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-4.22vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.76-6.26vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.73-6.97vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.56-7.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.58Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.48Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.71University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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7.16Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.99Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.42Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.12University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.8Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.81Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.59College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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11.13Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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12.91University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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11.78Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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6.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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9.74George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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10.03University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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10.38U. S. Naval Academy2.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Paris Henken | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 21.6% |
| Catherine Price | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 12.8% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% |
| Riley Legault | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Brittney Slook | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.