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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+7.62vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.58+8.77vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.73+7.14vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.46+6.77vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+2.23vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.84+3.35vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.90+2.07vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76+1.64vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.09-0.76vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.21+2.26vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.20-3.02vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.23+0.30vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.35-5.95vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-1.74vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.56-4.50vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-5.08vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-10.04vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.37-11.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.62Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.77University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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10.14University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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10.77Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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7.23Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.35Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.07Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.64George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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8.24College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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12.26Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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7.98Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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12.3Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.05Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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12.26University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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10.5U. S. Naval Academy2.560.0%1st Place
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10.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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6.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.94University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Haddon Hughes | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Riley Legault | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% |
| Paris Henken | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Catherine Price | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 14.7% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 16.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 17.4% |
| Brittney Slook | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.