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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.97vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.46+9.27vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+4.30vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+3.69vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.09+3.18vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.58+4.46vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.90+2.02vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76+1.57vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+3.58vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.33-2.56vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-0.09vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.06-3.28vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.73-3.31vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.84-4.96vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.56-4.52vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.21-3.92vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.23-4.96vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.20-10.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.27Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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7.3University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.69Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.18College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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10.46University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.02Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.57George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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12.58University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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7.44Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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8.72Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.69University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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9.04Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.48U. S. Naval Academy2.560.0%1st Place
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12.08Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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12.04Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.56Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 8.6% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Haddon Hughes | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Paris Henken | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Riley Legault | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 15.7% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| Brittney Slook | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% |
| Catherine Price | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 15.8% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 15.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.