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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+7.04vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.46+9.24vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.09+5.46vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.76+5.51vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+2.76vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.33+1.26vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37+0.08vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58+2.41vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+1.79vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.90-0.69vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.84-1.54vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.06-3.28vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.73-3.33vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-1.78vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-8.36vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.23-4.02vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.56-6.34vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.21-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.04Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.24Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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8.46College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.51George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.76Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.26Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.41University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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10.79St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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9.31Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.46Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.72Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.67University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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12.22University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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6.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.98Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.66U. S. Naval Academy2.560.0%1st Place
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11.78Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Haddon Hughes | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% |
| Paris Henken | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Riley Legault | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 18.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 14.9% |
| Brittney Slook | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% |
| Catherine Price | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.