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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+5.29vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.49+5.72vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.61+4.32vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+4.71vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.38+6.66vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston4.09-0.20vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.74-0.18vs Predicted
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8Hampton University3.02+1.37vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+0.65vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-4.41vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii2.92-0.93vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-3.92vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.71-5.91vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.52-6.22vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.12-2.39vs Predicted
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17Marquette University1.11-1.81vs Predicted
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18University of British Columbia1.92-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.72George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.32Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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8.71Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.66Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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5.8College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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6.82Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.37Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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9.65Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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5.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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10.07University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.09Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.78Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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12.61University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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15.19Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
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13.26University of British Columbia1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 10.4% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 8.4% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| John Hanna | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Chuck Eaton | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 1.9% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kate Klement | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 13.5% |
| Ryan Clulo | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 15.9% | 52.5% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 21.1% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.