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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.49+6.58vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.71+4.89vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+2.67vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+2.59vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+3.00vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.61+1.50vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.74-0.11vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.09-2.42vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.92+1.08vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.24-1.46vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-1.43vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.52-4.43vs Predicted
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14Hampton University3.02-4.38vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia1.92-1.64vs Predicted
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16Marquette University1.11-0.99vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.38-5.10vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.12-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.89Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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5.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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6.59University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.5Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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6.89Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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5.58College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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8.54Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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9.57Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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7.57Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.62Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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13.36University of British Columbia1.920.0%1st Place
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15.01Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
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11.9Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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12.65University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Will La Dow | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 12.3% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 2.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| John Hanna | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Will Holz | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 15.5% | 23.3% | 17.6% |
| Ryan Clulo | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 51.8% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 8.4% |
| Kate Klement | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 19.3% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.