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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.49+6.51vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.74+4.71vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+2.61vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.52+3.63vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.71+1.79vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.61+1.42vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.12vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+1.15vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.92+0.96vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.84-3.62vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.88+2.23vs Predicted
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12Hampton University3.02-2.59vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston4.09-7.32vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.24-5.28vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.12-2.56vs Predicted
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16University of British Columbia1.92-2.85vs Predicted
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18Marquette University1.11-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.51George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.71Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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5.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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7.63Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.79Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.42Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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8.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.15Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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9.96University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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6.38University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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13.23Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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9.41Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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5.68College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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8.72Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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12.44University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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13.15University of British Columbia1.920.0%1st Place
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15.09Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Will La Dow | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Will Holz | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| John Hanna | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Chuck Eaton | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 22.0% | 17.9% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 12.6% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Kate Klement | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 11.1% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 20.1% | 15.3% |
| Ryan Clulo | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 16.5% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.