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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.61+6.06vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.71+4.72vs Predicted
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3Hampton University3.02+6.39vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+2.48vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+0.49vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+3.54vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.24+1.66vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.52-0.56vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston4.09-3.25vs Predicted
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10George Washington University3.49-2.42vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.74-4.01vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii2.92-2.24vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-4.80vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia1.92-0.82vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.88-1.83vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.12-3.47vs Predicted
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18Marquette University1.11-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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6.72Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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9.39Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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6.48University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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5.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.54Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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8.66Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.44Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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5.75College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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7.58George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.99Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.76University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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13.18University of British Columbia1.920.0%1st Place
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13.17Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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12.53University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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15.06Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 13.3% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Hanna | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Will Holz | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 9.7% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Will La Dow | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Chuck Eaton | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 20.7% | 16.5% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 23.2% | 16.6% |
| Kate Klement | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 11.7% |
| Ryan Clulo | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 18.0% | 48.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.