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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+4.39vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.61+5.12vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+5.57vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+2.48vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.87vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-0.28vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.88+6.08vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.71-1.23vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.74-2.01vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.52-2.59vs Predicted
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11George Washington University3.49-3.19vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii2.92-2.30vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.12-0.49vs Predicted
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14Hampton University3.02-4.47vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-5.70vs Predicted
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17University of British Columbia1.92-3.97vs Predicted
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18Marquette University0.67-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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7.12Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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8.57Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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5.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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13.08Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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6.77Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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6.99Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.41Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.81George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.7University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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12.51University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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9.53Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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9.3Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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13.03University of British Columbia1.920.0%1st Place
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15.73Marquette University0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 14.9% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 17.9% | 24.2% | 10.5% |
| Martim Anderson | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Chuck Eaton | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Kate Klement | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 19.4% | 9.6% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| John Hanna | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 22.6% | 11.5% |
| Bobby Sessions | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 63.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.