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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+4.41vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+5.98vs Predicted
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3Hampton University3.02+6.37vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.61+3.29vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+3.41vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84+0.54vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.52+0.60vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.49-0.46vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-3.25vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.74-3.33vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.12+1.46vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.71-5.07vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia1.92-0.93vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-5.59vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.88-2.96vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii2.92-7.18vs Predicted
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18Marquette University0.67-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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7.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.37Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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7.29Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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8.41Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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6.54University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.6Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.54George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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5.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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6.67Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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12.46University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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6.93Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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13.07University of British Columbia1.920.0%1st Place
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9.41Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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13.04Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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9.82University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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15.72Marquette University0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 14.8% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 20.8% | 8.1% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 16.5% | 20.2% | 13.0% |
| John Hanna | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 22.5% | 13.3% |
| Chuck Eaton | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Bobby Sessions | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 15.3% | 61.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.