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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.52+6.44vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+7.35vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+5.10vs Predicted
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4Hampton University3.02+5.56vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.74+1.69vs Predicted
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6George Washington University3.49+1.94vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.24+0.71vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.61-1.81vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston4.09-4.20vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii2.92-1.20vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.84-5.33vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.71-5.99vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-8.25vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.12-2.23vs Predicted
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16University of British Columbia1.92-2.84vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.38-5.08vs Predicted
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18Marquette University1.11-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.35Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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8.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.56Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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6.69Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.94George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.71Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.19Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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5.8College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.8University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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6.67University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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5.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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12.77University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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13.16University of British Columbia1.920.0%1st Place
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11.92Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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15.14Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Holz | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| John Hanna | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Will La Dow | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 9.6% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 3.5% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kate Klement | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 19.9% | 14.0% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 22.3% | 18.5% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 8.6% |
| Ryan Clulo | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 9.5% | 17.0% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.