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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+8.25vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.52+5.60vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+5.10vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+1.69vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.09+0.48vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia1.92+7.35vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.74-0.13vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.92+1.74vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.84-2.36vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.38+1.78vs Predicted
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11Hampton University3.02-1.33vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.61-4.67vs Predicted
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13George Washington University3.49-5.13vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.24-5.16vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.12-2.40vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.71-8.97vs Predicted
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18Marquette University1.11-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.25Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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7.6Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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5.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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5.48College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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13.35University of British Columbia1.920.0%1st Place
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6.87Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.78Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.67Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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7.33Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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7.87George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.84Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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12.6University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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7.03Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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15.17Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Hanna | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Will Holz | 8.1% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 12.8% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 15.9% | 20.9% | 19.1% |
| Will La Dow | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 6.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Kate Klement | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 19.1% | 13.3% |
| Martim Anderson | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Clulo | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 15.7% | 53.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.