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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+6.88vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.52+5.49vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+3.44vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+1.63vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.74+1.69vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.88+7.37vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.92+2.85vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+0.16vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.61-2.60vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.24-2.51vs Predicted
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12Hampton University3.02-2.43vs Predicted
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13George Washington University3.49-5.32vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston4.09-8.30vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.71-8.03vs Predicted
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16University of British Columbia1.92-2.97vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.12-4.42vs Predicted
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18Marquette University1.11-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.49Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.44University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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5.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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6.69Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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13.37Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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9.16Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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7.4Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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8.49Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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9.57Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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7.68George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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5.7College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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6.97Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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13.03University of British Columbia1.920.0%1st Place
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12.58University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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15.06Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Will Holz | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 12.0% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 15.6% | 20.6% | 18.2% |
| Chuck Eaton | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| John Hanna | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 21.3% | 16.3% |
| Kate Klement | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 10.1% |
| Ryan Clulo | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 16.6% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.