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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+8.15vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.49+5.62vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.74+3.78vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.92+5.87vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.71+1.77vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-0.27vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston4.09-1.39vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.04vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+0.53vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.52-2.54vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.88+2.27vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.84-5.55vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.12-0.43vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.61-6.60vs Predicted
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15Marquette University1.11-0.04vs Predicted
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16University of British Columbia1.92-2.80vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.24-8.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.15Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.62George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.78Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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6.77Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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5.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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5.61College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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7.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.53Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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7.46Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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13.27Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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6.45University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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12.57University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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7.4Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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14.96Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
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13.2University of British Columbia1.920.0%1st Place
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8.67Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Will La Dow | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Chuck Eaton | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Martim Anderson | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| John Hanna | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Will Holz | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 21.3% | 19.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kate Klement | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 11.6% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Clulo | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 17.4% | 47.7% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 16.4% | 20.6% | 14.9% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.