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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+4.45vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+6.02vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+6.34vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.71+3.03vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.74+1.67vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-0.23vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.24+1.62vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.61-0.84vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.49-1.05vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.84-3.63vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.52-3.19vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.12+0.47vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University2.38-1.14vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii2.92-3.98vs Predicted
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16University of British Columbia1.92-2.93vs Predicted
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17Marquette University0.67-1.19vs Predicted
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18Hampton University3.02-8.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.34Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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7.03Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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6.67Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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5.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.62Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.16Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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7.95George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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6.37University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.81Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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12.47University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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11.86Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.02University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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13.07University of British Columbia1.920.0%1st Place
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15.81Marquette University0.670.0%1st Place
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9.58Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 13.8% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| John Hanna | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Will La Dow | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Will Holz | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Kate Klement | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 20.4% | 9.3% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 5.4% |
| Chuck Eaton | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 23.3% | 14.2% |
| Bobby Sessions | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 14.3% | 65.5% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.