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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+4.45vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.74+4.72vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+3.47vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.52+3.70vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+4.22vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.92+4.05vs Predicted
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7George Washington University3.49+0.74vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-2.41vs Predicted
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9Hampton University3.02+0.63vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.71-3.19vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.24-3.20vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University2.38-1.31vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.61-6.62vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.12-2.34vs Predicted
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16University of British Columbia1.92-2.90vs Predicted
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17Marquette University0.67-1.22vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-9.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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6.72Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.47University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.7Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.22Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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10.05University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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7.74George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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5.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.63Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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6.81Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.8Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.69Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.38Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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12.66University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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13.1University of British Columbia1.920.0%1st Place
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15.78Marquette University0.670.0%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 13.6% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| John Hanna | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 12.3% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 17.6% | 12.4% | 5.7% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kate Klement | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 21.2% | 9.4% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 26.2% | 13.4% |
| Bobby Sessions | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 13.1% | 65.4% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.