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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+3.59vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+6.31vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.13+3.21vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10+7.32vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.48+3.32vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.71+2.58vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.70+1.24vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99-1.36vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.65+0.31vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14-4.28vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College-0.13+0.22vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-4.54vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.01-2.54vs Predicted
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14George Washington University0.93-6.44vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-0.64-2.71vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.15-6.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Jacksonville University-1.3815.5%1st Place
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8.31St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.9%1st Place
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6.21Bowdoin College1.139.4%1st Place
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11.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.102.5%1st Place
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8.32University of Vermont0.485.7%1st Place
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8.58Fordham University0.715.0%1st Place
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8.24University of Wisconsin0.705.3%1st Place
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6.64University of Rhode Island0.998.9%1st Place
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9.31Christopher Newport University0.653.8%1st Place
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5.72Boston University1.1411.9%1st Place
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11.22Connecticut College-0.132.1%1st Place
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7.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.857.1%1st Place
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10.46North Carolina State University0.013.8%1st Place
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7.56George Washington University0.936.9%1st Place
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12.29University of Michigan-0.641.8%1st Place
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9.79Maine Maritime Academy0.154.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emily Allen | 15.5% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
Rebecca Schill | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Katherine Mason | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 18.9% |
Audrey Commerford | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
Lizzie Cochran | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
Mary Castellini | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
Kytalin Hendrickson | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
Grace Watlington | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.7% |
Tiare Sierra | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Lilly Saffer | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 17.1% |
Julia Conneely | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
Lyla Solway | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% |
Avery Canavan | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
Katherine Simcoe | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 28.7% |
Jane Marvin | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.