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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+9.19vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.84+2.99vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.41+3.48vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.38+2.59vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+1.38vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.42+0.58vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.77-1.66vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.09-0.50vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.25-1.82vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.93-1.99vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.08+0.14vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-3.48vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39+0.13vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii2.14-2.96vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia0.27+0.43vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.44-7.04vs Predicted
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18Marquette University0.84-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.19Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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4.99College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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6.48George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.59Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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6.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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6.58Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.34Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.18Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.01Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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11.14University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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13.13Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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15.43University of British Columbia0.270.0%1st Place
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9.96Jacksonville University2.440.0%1st Place
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14.55Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Jack Cusick | 14.4% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Robert Floyd | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Thompson | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 19.9% | 12.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 8.0% | 2.0% |
| Richard Minielly | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 22.3% | 51.2% |
| Ethan Lounsbury | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 26.9% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.