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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.77+4.32vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+4.55vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.26+7.75vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.93+4.42vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.14+5.98vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.84-0.56vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.38-0.22vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+0.62vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University3.43-2.21vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.25-2.82vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39+2.22vs Predicted
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12Marquette University0.84+2.57vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-6.14vs Predicted
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14George Washington University3.41-7.19vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.08-3.74vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.09-8.14vs Predicted
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18University of British Columbia0.27-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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6.55Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.75Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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8.42Stanford University2.930.1%1st Place
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10.98University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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5.44College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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6.78Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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6.79Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.18Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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13.22Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.0%1st Place
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14.57Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
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6.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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6.81George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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11.26University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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7.86University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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15.6University of British Columbia0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Bryan | 15.0% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 2.3% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Michael Pacholski | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 2.4% |
| Jack Cusick | 11.9% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Thompson | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 19.2% | 23.1% | 10.2% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 27.0% | 28.9% |
| Hector Guzman | 9.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kai Friesecke | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 8.7% | 2.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Richard Minielly | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 20.5% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.