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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+5.44vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+4.59vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.14+8.05vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.93+4.43vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77+0.46vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University3.43+0.75vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+1.76vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.41-1.42vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39+4.40vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.84-4.79vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.25-3.60vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.09-4.18vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.38-6.14vs Predicted
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14Hampton University2.26-3.17vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia0.27+0.50vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.08-4.71vs Predicted
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18Marquette University0.84-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.44Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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11.05University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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8.43Stanford University2.930.1%1st Place
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5.46Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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6.75Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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6.58George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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13.4Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.0%1st Place
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5.21College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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7.4Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.82University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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6.86Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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10.83Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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15.5University of British Columbia0.270.0%1st Place
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11.29University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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14.63Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hector Guzman | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 2.6% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 12.5% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Kai Friesecke | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Thompson | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 19.9% | 21.4% | 11.8% |
| Jack Cusick | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Robert Floyd | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Richard Minielly | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 20.2% | 52.7% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 2.0% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 29.0% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.