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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+5.45vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.93+6.22vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42+3.55vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.76+4.94vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.26+5.45vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.84-0.66vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.25+0.20vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.38-1.37vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.77-3.39vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University3.43-3.58vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-2.16vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.08-0.85vs Predicted
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13George Washington University3.41-6.29vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-0.69vs Predicted
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15Marquette University0.84-0.54vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii2.14-4.88vs Predicted
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17University of British Columbia0.27-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.22Stanford University2.930.1%1st Place
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6.55Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.94University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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10.45Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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5.34College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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7.2Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.63Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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5.61Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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6.42Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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11.15University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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6.71George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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13.31Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.0%1st Place
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14.46Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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15.58University of British Columbia0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Guzman | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Read | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Jack Cusick | 13.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.2% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 8.1% | 1.9% |
| Kai Friesecke | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Thompson | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 12.1% | 20.6% | 22.1% | 10.9% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 28.5% | 28.2% |
| Michael Pacholski | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 2.7% |
| Richard Minielly | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 20.6% | 53.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.