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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.25+5.95vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.84+3.15vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.14+7.95vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+4.73vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+1.52vs Predicted
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6Hampton University2.26+4.82vs Predicted
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7George Washington University3.41-0.38vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.42-1.58vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.38-2.05vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.77-4.61vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.76-1.94vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.93-3.68vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University3.43-6.37vs Predicted
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14Marquette University0.84+0.54vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia0.27+0.46vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-2.75vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.08-5.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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5.15College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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10.95University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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6.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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10.82Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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6.62George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.42Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.95Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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5.39Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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8.32Stanford University2.930.1%1st Place
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6.63Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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14.54Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
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15.46University of British Columbia0.270.0%1st Place
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13.25Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.0%1st Place
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11.26University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alecsander Tayler | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cusick | 14.1% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 2.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Hector Guzman | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 6.3% | 1.4% |
| Kai Friesecke | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Read | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 30.6% | 27.2% |
| Richard Minielly | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 9.5% | 17.9% | 54.2% |
| Alexander Thompson | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 19.4% | 20.8% | 10.9% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.