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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.84+4.12vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University3.43+4.52vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.41+3.66vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+2.73vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77+0.31vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+2.87vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-0.33vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.08+3.03vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.76+0.14vs Predicted
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10Hampton University2.26+0.58vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia0.27+4.48vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.25-4.81vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii2.14-1.81vs Predicted
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15Marquette University0.84-0.46vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.53-9.73vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-3.72vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.93-9.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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6.52Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.66George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.73Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.31Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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6.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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11.03University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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9.14University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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10.58Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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15.48University of British Columbia0.270.0%1st Place
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7.19Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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11.19University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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14.54Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
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6.27Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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13.28Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.0%1st Place
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8.43Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Cusick | 13.1% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kai Friesecke | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Hector Guzman | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bocklet | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 2.3% |
| Brendan Read | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Richard Minielly | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 19.5% | 53.9% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 2.6% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 14.1% | 30.2% | 26.5% |
| Christopher Williford | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Thompson | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 20.2% | 19.1% | 11.3% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.