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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+5.14vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.41+4.55vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.84+2.23vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.08+7.19vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University3.43+1.38vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+2.85vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.93+1.37vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.77-2.63vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.76+0.12vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.14+1.00vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.42-4.30vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.25-4.81vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-6.20vs Predicted
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14Hampton University2.26-3.20vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-1.86vs Predicted
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17Marquette University0.84-2.42vs Predicted
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18University of British Columbia0.27-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.55George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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5.23College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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11.19University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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6.38Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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8.37Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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5.37Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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11.0University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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6.7Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.19Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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10.8Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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13.14Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.0%1st Place
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14.58Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
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15.58University of British Columbia0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cusick | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 2.2% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 12.2% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Michael Pacholski | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Hector Guzman | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Alexander Thompson | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 18.9% | 19.8% | 12.5% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 14.9% | 29.3% | 26.7% |
| Richard Minielly | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 21.0% | 53.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.