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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.25+6.09vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.76+6.89vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.41+3.71vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.84+1.39vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.17+2.48vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.14+5.31vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University3.43-0.38vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-1.34vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-0.05vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.53-3.78vs Predicted
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11Hampton University2.26-0.21vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.77-6.46vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston1.49+0.06vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.42-7.23vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.08-3.75vs Predicted
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16Marquette University0.84-1.37vs Predicted
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17University of British Columbia0.27-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.89University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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6.71George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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5.39College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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7.48Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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11.31University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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6.62Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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6.22Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.79Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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5.54Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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13.06Texas A&M University at Galveston1.490.0%1st Place
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6.77Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.25University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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14.63Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
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15.65University of British Columbia0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alecsander Tayler | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Kai Friesecke | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Cusick | 12.5% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Pacholski | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 7.8% | 2.9% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hector Guzman | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.5% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Sager | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 18.7% | 18.7% | 11.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 2.8% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 13.3% | 32.1% | 25.5% |
| Richard Minielly | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 19.3% | 54.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.