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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.25+6.09vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.84+3.18vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.41+3.71vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.77+1.60vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.26+5.52vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.42+0.85vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.14+4.16vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.53-1.75vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.17-1.28vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University3.43-3.48vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-2.11vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.08-0.78vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-6.11vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.76-4.85vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston1.49-2.01vs Predicted
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16Marquette University0.84-1.37vs Predicted
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17University of British Columbia0.27-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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5.18College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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6.71George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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5.6Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.52Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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6.85Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.16University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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6.25Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.72Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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6.52Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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11.22University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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6.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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12.99Texas A&M University at Galveston1.490.0%1st Place
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14.63Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
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15.63University of British Columbia0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alecsander Tayler | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cusick | 13.3% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 12.7% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 2.7% |
| Christopher Williford | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 9.0% | 2.6% |
| Hector Guzman | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Read | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Sager | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 20.1% | 20.0% | 9.5% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 13.8% | 30.3% | 27.0% |
| Richard Minielly | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 19.2% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.