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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+5.28vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.41+4.25vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.26+7.15vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.77+1.32vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42+1.19vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.84-0.86vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.08+3.79vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.44+1.41vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-0.46vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.25-3.15vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.17-3.72vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.02+4.39vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii2.14-2.32vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.76-5.27vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.53-9.01vs Predicted
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16University of British Columbia0.27-1.01vs Predicted
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17Marquette University0.84-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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6.25George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.15Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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5.32Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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6.19Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.14College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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10.79University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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9.41Jacksonville University2.440.0%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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6.85Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.28Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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16.39Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.020.0%1st Place
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10.68University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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8.73University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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5.99Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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14.99University of British Columbia0.270.0%1st Place
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14.02Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Guzman | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 13.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cusick | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Lounsbury | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Walker | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 15.5% | 73.1% |
| Michael Pacholski | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Read | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Richard Minielly | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 18.2% | 42.1% | 18.1% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 27.1% | 28.7% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.