Race 3A

women-atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lizzie Cochran 5.1% 5.1% 4.8% 5.2% 6.5% 6.8% 7.3% 6.9% 6.7% 6.6% 7.0% 7.6% 8.8% 7.1% 5.5% 3.1%
Emily Allen 17.8% 14.0% 12.1% 10.9% 10.4% 7.8% 7.8% 6.3% 3.8% 3.0% 2.9% 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Cho-Cho Williams 5.9% 5.8% 6.6% 7.0% 6.5% 6.9% 7.1% 5.8% 7.4% 7.8% 6.8% 7.1% 5.9% 6.3% 5.5% 1.6%
Julia Conneely 6.2% 8.1% 6.3% 9.0% 7.4% 6.6% 8.0% 7.8% 7.3% 6.7% 6.8% 5.5% 5.1% 5.2% 2.8% 1.5%
Avery Canavan 7.0% 6.7% 6.9% 6.7% 7.6% 7.8% 8.2% 8.0% 7.1% 7.5% 6.5% 6.5% 5.3% 4.0% 2.9% 1.2%
Mary Castellini 5.5% 5.9% 5.2% 5.2% 6.5% 5.8% 6.3% 7.1% 8.8% 8.1% 8.1% 7.0% 6.8% 6.2% 4.5% 3.0%
Tiare Sierra 11.2% 11.4% 11.6% 11.8% 8.1% 9.5% 7.6% 6.2% 6.6% 4.5% 4.8% 2.4% 2.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2%
Rebecca Schill 10.2% 8.6% 9.2% 8.6% 10.0% 8.9% 7.8% 8.0% 6.5% 6.1% 5.1% 3.5% 3.7% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Jane Marvin 3.7% 4.5% 3.9% 4.4% 4.5% 5.3% 5.5% 5.3% 6.0% 6.6% 7.6% 8.9% 8.1% 8.9% 8.8% 7.8%
Katherine Mason 2.4% 2.2% 3.0% 2.8% 2.5% 3.5% 3.1% 4.2% 4.3% 6.2% 6.2% 8.1% 8.0% 10.5% 15.2% 17.8%
Lilly Saffer 2.6% 3.1% 3.7% 3.5% 3.6% 2.9% 3.9% 4.3% 5.1% 5.3% 5.4% 7.9% 9.3% 10.0% 13.9% 15.4%
Kytalin Hendrickson 7.8% 9.2% 9.2% 8.0% 9.2% 9.2% 7.8% 7.1% 7.0% 6.2% 5.7% 4.6% 4.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.5%
Grace Watlington 3.6% 4.5% 4.9% 4.9% 5.0% 5.0% 5.7% 6.5% 7.0% 7.9% 7.5% 8.2% 8.5% 8.0% 7.2% 5.8%
Katherine Simcoe 1.8% 2.5% 1.8% 2.1% 2.1% 2.5% 3.5% 3.8% 4.0% 4.0% 5.7% 6.2% 7.2% 10.0% 14.1% 28.9%
Lyla Solway 3.6% 4.0% 4.5% 4.3% 3.9% 5.0% 4.5% 5.9% 5.3% 6.6% 6.7% 6.5% 8.9% 9.8% 11.2% 9.5%
Audrey Commerford 5.5% 4.5% 6.4% 5.6% 6.3% 6.3% 6.0% 7.0% 7.2% 6.8% 7.5% 8.4% 7.3% 6.2% 5.5% 3.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.