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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+4.87vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.41+4.31vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+3.44vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+4.39vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.14+5.47vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.84-0.83vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42-0.70vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.44+1.46vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.76-0.25vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.77-4.82vs Predicted
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11Hampton University2.26-0.71vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.08-1.23vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.17-5.69vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.02+2.38vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.25-8.08vs Predicted
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16University of British Columbia0.27-1.03vs Predicted
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17Marquette University0.84-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.31George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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10.47University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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5.17College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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6.3Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.46Jacksonville University2.440.0%1st Place
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8.75University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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5.18Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.29Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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10.77University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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7.31Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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16.38Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.020.0%1st Place
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6.92Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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14.97University of British Columbia0.270.0%1st Place
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14.0Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Cusick | 13.0% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Lounsbury | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Read | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 12.7% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Walker | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 16.5% | 73.4% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Richard Minielly | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 8.3% | 17.6% | 42.6% | 17.9% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 26.5% | 27.8% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.