Race 4A

women-atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Cho-Cho Williams 6.7% 6.0% 6.0% 6.4% 6.6% 7.4% 6.9% 6.9% 6.1% 7.1% 7.2% 6.9% 6.9% 5.7% 4.9% 2.4%
Rebecca Schill 8.8% 9.7% 10.8% 9.6% 9.0% 7.4% 7.2% 7.1% 6.3% 6.0% 6.7% 4.0% 3.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
Lizzie Cochran 5.7% 6.0% 5.1% 5.9% 4.6% 6.3% 6.5% 7.5% 7.6% 7.6% 7.4% 7.7% 6.7% 6.9% 5.3% 3.1%
Tiare Sierra 11.2% 9.5% 10.7% 9.9% 10.3% 8.5% 8.3% 7.0% 6.2% 5.5% 4.1% 3.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Avery Canavan 7.4% 7.1% 7.6% 7.1% 7.0% 6.9% 8.1% 7.6% 7.6% 6.5% 6.9% 6.2% 5.1% 4.8% 2.9% 1.2%
Grace Watlington 3.9% 4.3% 4.9% 4.5% 6.0% 5.9% 6.7% 6.2% 6.2% 6.9% 8.2% 8.0% 7.3% 8.1% 8.4% 4.8%
Mary Castellini 5.3% 6.2% 5.7% 6.2% 7.1% 6.2% 7.0% 6.5% 7.5% 6.6% 7.4% 7.4% 6.9% 6.2% 5.1% 2.6%
Emily Allen 17.1% 14.5% 13.0% 11.8% 10.1% 8.6% 6.3% 6.0% 4.5% 3.2% 1.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Lyla Solway 2.9% 4.0% 3.6% 3.8% 4.0% 4.8% 4.9% 5.2% 6.2% 6.2% 7.6% 7.1% 8.9% 11.0% 10.9% 8.9%
Julia Conneely 6.6% 6.5% 7.3% 7.7% 7.5% 8.2% 7.3% 7.3% 7.1% 7.7% 6.3% 5.9% 7.3% 3.5% 2.8% 0.9%
Katherine Simcoe 1.9% 1.8% 2.1% 2.1% 2.9% 2.2% 2.6% 3.5% 4.2% 4.5% 4.5% 5.5% 7.3% 8.9% 14.6% 31.2%
Katherine Mason 2.4% 2.6% 2.9% 2.3% 2.8% 3.6% 4.0% 4.1% 4.7% 5.6% 6.3% 7.5% 9.2% 11.4% 13.4% 17.1%
Audrey Commerford 4.9% 5.4% 4.4% 5.5% 7.1% 6.5% 6.3% 7.6% 8.2% 7.3% 7.1% 7.8% 6.9% 6.6% 5.5% 2.9%
Kytalin Hendrickson 9.0% 10.1% 8.2% 8.6% 7.5% 7.8% 8.8% 7.6% 6.3% 7.4% 5.5% 5.1% 3.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.6%
Jane Marvin 4.0% 3.5% 4.7% 5.1% 3.9% 6.3% 5.5% 6.2% 6.8% 6.3% 7.0% 7.8% 8.9% 9.2% 8.8% 6.0%
Lilly Saffer 2.1% 2.7% 3.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.6% 3.6% 4.5% 5.4% 6.0% 7.2% 8.9% 10.5% 14.1% 17.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.