← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+5.41vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida2.92+6.95vs Predicted
-
3Santa Barbara City College1.43+10.95vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.75vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University3.81+0.58vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.72-0.07vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.38+0.11vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-2.04vs Predicted
-
9Boston College3.48-2.37vs Predicted
-
10Eckerd College2.80-0.60vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University3.47-4.10vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University2.89-2.81vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-4.52vs Predicted
-
14University of Miami1.82-1.69vs Predicted
-
15University of Michigan1.44-1.28vs Predicted
-
16Northwestern University1.27-1.78vs Predicted
-
17Texas A&M University0.43-0.86vs Predicted
-
18University of Washington1.53-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.41U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
8.95University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
-
13.95Santa Barbara City College1.430.0%1st Place
-
6.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
5.58Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
-
5.93Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
-
7.11Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
5.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
-
6.63Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
9.4Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
-
6.9Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
9.19Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
-
8.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
-
12.31University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
-
13.72University of Michigan1.440.0%1st Place
-
14.22Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
-
16.14Texas A&M University0.430.0%1st Place
-
13.35University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Soren Wilde | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 18.8% | 11.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 13.3% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Stephen Long | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Magno | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 4.3% |
| Colton Gerber | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 10.9% |
| Jacob Bruce | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 19.2% | 14.8% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 16.3% | 49.8% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.