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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+3.62vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.92+7.02vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.89+6.17vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.47+2.78vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+3.63vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+0.19vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.05vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.63-1.72vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.80+0.24vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.82+2.83vs Predicted
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11University of Washington1.53+2.57vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.81-6.02vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.38-5.87vs Predicted
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14Santa Barbara City College1.43-0.46vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.27-0.73vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.48-9.08vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.44-3.10vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University0.43-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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9.02University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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9.17Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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6.78Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.63University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
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6.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.28U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.24Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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12.83University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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13.57University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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5.98Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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7.13Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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13.54Santa Barbara City College1.430.0%1st Place
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14.27Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
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6.92Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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13.9University of Michigan1.440.0%1st Place
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15.97Texas A&M University0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 15.2% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Adam | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Magno | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 5.5% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 10.1% |
| Sean Segerblom | 10.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 10.6% |
| Jacob Bruce | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 17.5% | 15.4% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colton Gerber | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 12.4% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 45.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.