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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+5.46vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.81+3.86vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+1.50vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+3.06vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.73+0.92vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+2.66vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.92+1.76vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.20vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-2.21vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.82+2.70vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.80-1.66vs Predicted
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12University of Washington1.53+1.70vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.44+0.61vs Predicted
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14Santa Barbara City College1.43-0.48vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.47-8.25vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.24-1.66vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University0.43-0.89vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.89-9.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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5.86Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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4.5Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.06Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.92Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.66University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
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8.76University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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8.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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12.7University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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9.34Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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13.7University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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13.61University of Michigan1.440.0%1st Place
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13.52Santa Barbara City College1.430.0%1st Place
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6.75Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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14.34Northwestern University1.240.0%1st Place
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16.11Texas A&M University0.430.0%1st Place
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8.71Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.8% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Baird | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 9.3% | 5.4% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 8.7% |
| Colton Gerber | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 10.5% |
| Soren Wilde | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 9.4% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 16.5% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 17.2% | 48.4% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.