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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.92+7.94vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+4.04vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.80+6.39vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.81+1.69vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.82vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.47+0.81vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.82+5.56vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.89+0.69vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.24-4.65vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.44+3.87vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.63-4.66vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.38-4.56vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-4.46vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-5.94vs Predicted
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15University of Washington1.53-1.59vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.24-1.69vs Predicted
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17Santa Barbara City College1.43-3.19vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University0.43-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.94University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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6.04Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.39Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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5.69Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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6.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.81Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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12.56University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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8.69Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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4.35Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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13.87University of Michigan1.440.0%1st Place
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6.34U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.44Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.54University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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8.06St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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13.41University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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14.31Northwestern University1.240.0%1st Place
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13.81Santa Barbara City College1.430.0%1st Place
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15.91Texas A&M University0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Baird | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sean Segerblom | 12.3% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 5.9% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 17.3% | 16.7% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colton Gerber | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 17.8% | 11.2% |
| Gary Prieto | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 9.3% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 18.9% | 16.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 12.4% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 18.5% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.