← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+7.04vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University0.65+7.13vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont0.48+5.34vs Predicted
-
4Maine Maritime Academy0.15+5.55vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin0.70+3.19vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University0.71+2.44vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University-1.38-2.49vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University0.01+2.17vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College1.13-2.88vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-2.40vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island0.99-4.49vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-1.06vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University0.93-5.55vs Predicted
-
14University of Michigan-0.64-1.88vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College-1.05-1.71vs Predicted
-
16Boston University1.14-10.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.04St. Mary's College of Maryland0.676.0%1st Place
-
9.13Christopher Newport University0.654.9%1st Place
-
8.34University of Vermont0.485.2%1st Place
-
9.55Maine Maritime Academy0.154.3%1st Place
-
8.19University of Wisconsin0.705.2%1st Place
-
8.44Fordham University0.714.7%1st Place
-
4.51Jacksonville University-1.3816.8%1st Place
-
10.17North Carolina State University0.013.0%1st Place
-
6.12Bowdoin College1.1310.1%1st Place
-
7.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.856.6%1st Place
-
6.51University of Rhode Island0.999.1%1st Place
-
10.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.102.5%1st Place
-
7.45George Washington University0.936.8%1st Place
-
12.12University of Michigan-0.641.8%1st Place
-
13.29Connecticut College-1.051.3%1st Place
-
5.58Boston University1.1411.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cho-Cho Williams | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
Grace Watlington | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
Audrey Commerford | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
Jane Marvin | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 4.8% |
Mary Castellini | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
Lizzie Cochran | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
Emily Allen | 16.8% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Lyla Solway | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 6.8% |
Rebecca Schill | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Julia Conneely | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
Kytalin Hendrickson | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Katherine Mason | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 10.9% |
Avery Canavan | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
Katherine Simcoe | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 22.0% |
Viola Henry | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 41.9% |
Tiare Sierra | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.