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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+5.37vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.92+6.95vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+4.80vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.47+2.59vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+3.45vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.79vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.89+1.79vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.73-2.24vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.80+0.06vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.81-4.25vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.38-3.89vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.72-5.85vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.24+1.09vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.82-1.70vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.44-1.26vs Predicted
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16Santa Barbara City College1.43-2.18vs Predicted
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17University of Washington1.53-3.44vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University0.43-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.95University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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7.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
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6.59Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.45University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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6.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.79Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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5.76Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.06Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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5.75Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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7.11Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.15Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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14.09Northwestern University1.240.0%1st Place
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12.3University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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13.74University of Michigan1.440.0%1st Place
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13.82Santa Barbara City College1.430.0%1st Place
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13.56University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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15.94Texas A&M University0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Tara | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.1% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sean Segerblom | 12.4% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 18.4% | 16.2% |
| Kyle Magno | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 4.8% |
| Colton Gerber | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 11.8% |
| Soren Wilde | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 11.3% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 10.6% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 11.8% | 20.1% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.