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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+4.79vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+6.80vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+3.00vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.63+2.10vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.73vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+1.07vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+0.65vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.80+1.04vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.72-3.19vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.24+4.38vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.47-4.17vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.82+0.83vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.44+0.53vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.92-5.55vs Predicted
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15University of Washington1.53-1.57vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.89-7.10vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University0.43-0.89vs Predicted
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18Santa Barbara City College1.43-4.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.8University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
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6.0Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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6.1U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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6.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.07Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.65St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
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9.04Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
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5.81Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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14.38Northwestern University1.240.0%1st Place
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6.83Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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12.83University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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13.53University of Michigan1.440.0%1st Place
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8.45University of South Florida2.920.1%1st Place
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13.43University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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8.9Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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16.11Texas A&M University0.430.0%1st Place
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13.55Santa Barbara City College1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 18.7% | 17.2% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 5.5% |
| Colton Gerber | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 10.4% |
| Andrew Baird | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 8.1% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 17.8% | 48.3% |
| Soren Wilde | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 17.5% | 14.3% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.