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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+4.39vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+5.14vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+3.59vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+3.80vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+1.35vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.11vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.26-0.24vs Predicted
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8Santa Barbara City College1.43+5.23vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.82+3.07vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.80-1.36vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.29-4.18vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.27+2.10vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.33-2.90vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.89-6.14vs Predicted
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15University of Washington1.53-2.00vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University0.43-0.09vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.44-3.62vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.40-8.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
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6.59Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.8University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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6.35Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.76Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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13.23Santa Barbara City College1.430.0%1st Place
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12.07University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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8.64Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
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6.82Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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14.1Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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7.86Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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13.0University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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15.91Texas A&M University0.430.0%1st Place
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13.38University of Michigan1.440.0%1st Place
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9.74University of South Florida2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 12.0% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 8.8% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 7.5% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.8% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Tong | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 11.4% |
| Kyle Magno | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 4.2% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| AJ Reiter | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Bruce | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 17.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 8.5% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 18.6% | 45.8% |
| Colton Gerber | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 10.4% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.