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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.61+8.77vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.49+8.37vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.51+7.26vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+3.69vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+2.46vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston4.09+1.47vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.08+0.50vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.18vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.52+0.94vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.74-0.73vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.48vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.48-1.47vs Predicted
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13George Washington University3.49-3.10vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-2.38vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.71-5.92vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.24-4.76vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-6.28vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.59-8.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.77Dartmouth College3.610.0%1st Place
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10.37Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
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10.26Georgetown University3.510.0%1st Place
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7.69Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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7.47College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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7.5Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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9.94Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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9.27Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.53Brown University3.480.0%1st Place
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9.9George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.62University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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9.08Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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11.24Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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10.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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9.47University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lalumiere | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
| John Rolander | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Patrick Snow | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% |
| Will Holz | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
| Will La Dow | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 15.1% |
| Martim Anderson | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 13.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.