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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+8.49vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.71+7.38vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.51+7.25vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+6.41vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.59+4.57vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston4.09+1.42vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.48+3.12vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.08-0.53vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.01-1.24vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.24+1.47vs Predicted
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11George Washington University3.49-0.75vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-4.13vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.74-4.11vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.52-4.34vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-5.64vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.49-5.84vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-4.92vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.61-8.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.49U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.38Roger Williams University3.710.0%1st Place
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10.25Georgetown University3.510.0%1st Place
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10.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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9.57University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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7.42College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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10.12Brown University3.480.0%1st Place
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7.47Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.76Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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11.47Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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10.25George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.89Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.66Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.16Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
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12.08University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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9.39Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Snow | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% |
| Martim Anderson | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Will La Dow | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Will Holz | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| John Rolander | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 17.9% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.