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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+9.19vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.59+7.91vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.74+6.20vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.08+3.45vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.01+2.78vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.61+3.55vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.48+3.13vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.49+2.01vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.71+0.12vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.49+0.42vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.24+0.29vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.22vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.52-3.20vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-2.40vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-4.52vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston4.09-8.43vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.67-7.57vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-10.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.19Georgetown University3.510.0%1st Place
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9.91University of South Florida3.590.0%1st Place
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9.2Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.45Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.78Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.55Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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10.13Brown University3.480.0%1st Place
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10.01George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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9.12Roger Williams University3.710.0%1st Place
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10.42Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.29Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.0%1st Place
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9.8Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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11.6University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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10.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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7.57College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% |
| Sean Cornell | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Will La Dow | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% |
| Martim Anderson | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| John Rolander | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 12.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% |
| Will Holz | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 14.6% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.