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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.61+8.74vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.52+8.16vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+4.68vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.51+5.90vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.59+4.55vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+4.53vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.24+4.19vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.24vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.48+1.10vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.71-0.55vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.01-3.06vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston4.09-4.11vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.08-5.58vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-4.90vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.74-6.04vs Predicted
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16George Washington University3.49-5.81vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-4.94vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.49-8.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.74Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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10.16Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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7.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.9Georgetown University3.510.0%1st Place
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9.55University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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10.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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11.19Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.1Brown University3.480.0%1st Place
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9.45Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.94Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.89College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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7.42Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.96Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.19George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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12.06University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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9.9Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lalumiere | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
| Will Holz | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% |
| Martim Anderson | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% |
| Erika Reineke | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Will La Dow | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 17.4% |
| John Rolander | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.