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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+6.74vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.51+8.28vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.01+5.01vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.15vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.08+2.53vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.48+4.14vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.59+2.59vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.74+0.92vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston4.09-1.61vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.49+0.36vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.61-1.25vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+0.31vs Predicted
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13George Washington University3.49-3.05vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-4.90vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.52-5.09vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.71-6.80vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-6.27vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.24-7.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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10.28Georgetown University3.510.0%1st Place
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8.01Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.15U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.53Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.14Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.59University of South Florida3.590.0%1st Place
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8.92Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.39College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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10.36Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.75Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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12.31University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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9.95George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.91Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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9.2Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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10.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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10.95Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greiner Hobbs | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.7% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% |
| Sean Cornell | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% |
| Will La Dow | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| John Rolander | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 19.6% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Will Holz | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
| Martim Anderson | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.