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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.71+8.33vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+8.86vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.66vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.74+4.89vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+6.02vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston4.09+1.50vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.01+0.74vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.49+2.04vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.08-1.56vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-2.27vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.59-1.17vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.61-1.99vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.67-3.84vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-2.39vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.48-4.93vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.51-5.88vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.52-6.89vs Predicted
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18George Washington University3.49-8.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.33Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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10.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.0%1st Place
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8.89Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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11.02Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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7.5College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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7.74Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.04Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
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7.44Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.83University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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10.01Dartmouth College3.610.0%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.61University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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10.07Brown University3.480.0%1st Place
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10.12Georgetown University3.510.0%1st Place
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10.11Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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9.88George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martim Anderson | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% |
| Will La Dow | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 12.0% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| John Rolander | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 15.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% |
| Will Holz | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.